Warren gains on Biden in Iowa: poll
Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) is closing in on former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE in Iowa, according to a Monmouth University poll released Thursday.
Biden remains the contest’s front-runner, notching 28 percent support among likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa. But Warren is now polling in second place with 19 percent support, a significant gain from the 7 percent she carried in a similar survey conducted in April.
In third place is Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.), who came in with 11 percent support in the Hawkeye State. Like Warren, she saw a bump since Monmouth’s last Iowa poll, gaining 4 points since April.
Meanwhile, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) has trended in the opposite direction. He took fourth in the latest survey with 9 percent support, down from 16 percent in April. He’s trailed closely by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE (D) at 8 percent, according to the poll.
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Four other candidates notched above 1 percent in the Monmouth poll of Iowa Democratic caucusgoers: Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.) and billionaire philanthropist Tom SteyerTom SteyerBloomberg wages war on COVID-19, but will he abandon his war on coal? Overnight Energy: 600K clean energy jobs lost during pandemic, report finds | Democrats target diseases spread by wildlife | Energy Dept. to buy 1M barrels of oil Ocasio-Cortez, Schiff team up to boost youth voter turnout MORE scored 3 percent each, while Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten GillibrandWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Warren, Pressley introduce bill to make it a crime for police officers to deny medical care to people in custody Senate Dems press DOJ over coronavirus safety precautions in juvenile detention centers MORE (D-N.Y.) and former tech executive Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE came in with 2 percent each.
Warren’s rise suggests that her massive field operation in Iowa and breakneck pace of campaigning may be paying off. She has more staffers on the ground than any of her rivals, and is among the top-tier candidates who have spent the most time in the state, according to the Des Moines Register, which is tracking candidate visits to Iowa.
The poll, which was conducted from Aug. 1 to 4, also suggests that Warren’s standing may have been buoyed by what was considered by many to be a solid performance in the second Democratic primary debate last week.
More than three quarters of Iowa Democratic caucusgoers — 76 percent — have a positive impression of Warren, the Monmouth poll found, giving her the highest favorability rating of any candidate in the race. Biden takes a close second on that front, with 73 percent reporting favorable views of the former vice president.
Harris and Buttigieg are tied at 68 percent favorability, while Sanders rounds out the top five at 58 percent.
The Iowa caucuses are still roughly six months away, however, and the candidates will have an opportunity in the coming days to boost their Iowa bona fides. Virtually the entire Democratic field is slated to speak at the Iowa State Fair, one of the most essential stops for presidential campaigns.
The Monmouth poll surveyed 401 likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa, about 20 percent whom said they would likely caucus online or on the phone, from Aug. 1 to 4. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.